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SPUDSMART.COM46SPUDSMART.COMMARKETNEWSCanadianproductionestimatesor2012areuprom2011sdevastatingnumbersbutaglutintheU.S.marketmaymakemarketingpotatoessouthotheborderdifcult.AGLANCEat2011sproductionfguresiscringe-worthyduetothepoorcropconditionsinmanyareasduringthegrowingseasonwhichdrasticallyloweredcropyields.StatisticsCanadas2012productionestimatesaremuchimprovedwithtotalsthatareslightlyabovetrend-lineaverages.WelladjustthesenumbersagaininJanuarybutthecropisrecordedatbeingupabout8.6percentoverthepreviousyearsaysKevinMacIsaacgeneralmanagerotheUnitedPotatoGrowersoCanada.Thisyearsyieldisestimatedtobe275.5hundredweightperacreduetobettergrowingconditionsinalmostallareas.AdditionallytheplantedareawasveryclosetotheharvestedacressaysMacIsaac.Acreageincreasedbasedonadditionalprocessingcontractsandgrowingconditionsincreasedyieldsheexplains.HowevergrowersshouldbecautiousaboutrelyingtoomuchontheStatisticsCanadafgures.Thosewerethemid-NovembernumberssaysMacIsaac.Someareasarebeingchallengedwithsomestorageissuesinthewestandtheeastandalsohighercullageratessowellhavetoseeithatwillbringdownournetproduction.SUPPLYISUPsaysMacIsaacbutthiswasexpectedateragoodgrowingseasonin2012.ComparedtoayearagoonJan.1ourholdingsareup13.1percenthesays.Butwehavetokeepinmindthat2011wasayearthathadbelow-averageproductioninmostprovinces.Itsimportanttokeepitrelative.Ourholdingswere65millionhundredweightonJan.12013versus57.5millionhundredweightonJan.12012sowerestillaboveaverage.MacIsaacadds.AlotothatproductionincreaseisinManitoba.Manitobasholdingscomparedtoayearagoareup25percent.OthernotableproductionincreasesoccurredinNewBrunswick31percentandAlberta19percent.PRICESAREDOWNinCanada.Manitobareportedrecentlythattheirreshpricesaredowncomparedtoayearagoandrightacrossthecountryitsaconsistentstory.ThatsrelatedtotheabilitytomoveproductinthemarketplaceandsupplysaysMacIsaac.AccordingtoMacIsaacmovementisslowinalmostallareasothecountrywithmostprovincesreportingdifcultiesmovingproductintothemarketplacewhichispartlyduetotheglutintheU.S.supply.WiththeU.S.supplyupitsbecomealmostimpossibleinsomeareastoshippotatoesintotheU.S.WiththenumberopotatoestheyhavetoselltheyreshippingthemintoCanadaatbelow-competitiveprices.InP.E.I.orexamplethepricesare34centslowerperten-poundbagthanlastyearatthistime.cropupabout8.6percentMarketinormationcourtesyotheUPGCStatisticsCanadaandindustrypartnersBayerCropScienceandBruceHuakermarketanalystandpublisheroNorthAmericanPotatoMarketNews.2012CanadianPotatoProductionEstimatesProvincePlantedAcresHarvestedAcresYieldcwtacreProductioncwtN.L.50050017588000P.E.I.895008750028524938000N.S.19001900220418000N.B.535005250026513913000Que.413004080026810938000Ont.39800395001907505000Man.760007550027520763000Sask.700065002501625000Alta.557005400034418576000B.C.650060002851710000CANADA371700364700275100474000SourceStatisticsCanadaNov.162012MANITOBAREPORTEDRECENTLYTHATTHEIRFRESHPRICESAREDOWNCOMPAREDTOAYEARAGOANDRIGHTACROSSTHECOUNTRYITSACONSISTENTSTORY.KevinMacIsaacgeneralmanageroUPGCHowevertheallseasonsawsomeexcellentmovementorprocessors.TheprocessorshavebeenrunningreallyhardthroughoutthealltherewasgooddemandortheproductandtheyhaveworkeddiligentlytokeepaheadostorageissuessaysMacIsaac.OveralltheCanadiancropappearstobeinaairlygoodpositionheadinginto2013.